0. Introduction
Visual storytelling has been around for ages—ever since humans smeared berry juice on cave walls with sticks.
In the modern age, WEBTOON provides a platform for anyone anywhere to upload their own visual stories for readers around the world to read for free.
WEBTOON is a veritable treasure trove of stories, perfect for a bad day pick-me-up or to inspire you to take charge as the main character of your own story. And though each is valuable in its own way, some stories still do better than others. Why?
Metrics of Success
Cut-and-dry figures are not necessarily the sole indicator of a “good” WEBTOON, but data analysis can identify patterns in Originals that statistically perform well among readers.
The most blatant common denominator that may reveal patterns is a series’ genre. Do certain genres perform better than others? Which genres are more popular among readers?
To measure how genre and overall success of a series are related, we compare the independent variable of genre with the dependent variables of the number of subscribers (in millions) and average series rating (rated from 0-10 by readers) within a sample set of 774 WEBTOON Originals.
Top WEBTOON Originals
Originals are WEBTOON-sponsored stories. Original series are provided compensation, editors, and marketing support, among other benefits.
WEBTOON compiles their own list of “Top” (most popular) Originals, which almost certainly considers many more factors than the two analyzed in this project.
The following data is pulled from WEBTOON’s list of most popular Originals across all 16 genres, as of June 30th, 2022, are:
Figure 1
Top Originals from all genres. (WEBTOON, 2022)
Note that half of these series are tagged under the Romance genre, with two of the series not directly tagged as Romance still containing central romance themes (The Unmarried Empress and Suitor Armor).
This trend, that Romance Originals are among the most successful Originals, will later be corroborated through analysis.
To conclude this project, we generate a list of 10 Originals that perform well among both metrics of subscribers and series ratings. We then compare this list to WEBTOON’s official rankings.
1. Genres, Subscribers, and Ratings
WEBTOON Genres
Figure 2 displays which genres contain more Originals.
Figure 2
(Kaggle, 2022)
Note that some genres contain notably more Originals than others (Fantasy and Romance) and that the genre distribution does not completely parallel the distribution of average subscribers (Figure 3) nor ratings (Figure 4) across genres.
From this observation, we determine that genre does indeed have some effect on a series’ success.
Number of Subscribers
Subscribers are a strong indicator of a series’ popularity. We see which genres are most popular in Figure 3, below.
Figure 3
Romance wins by a landslide! How very romantic of you, WEBTOON readers. Note that although the number of Fantasy Originals (138) and Romance Originals (131) is extremely close, that Fantasy significantly falls behind in number of subscribers.
Additionally, Action and Drama, despite falling in the middle of the ratings distribution by genre (Figure 3), rank a close third and fourth in subscriber counts.
Also note that for the number of subscribers in millions for all series, regardless of genre, the mean μ is 0.46, and the standard deviation δ is 0.67 (computations below).
[1] 0.46[1] 0.67Series Rating
Series ratings provide a statistic indicator of series quality, as well as popularity.
Series ratings are optional and entirely reader-contributed. Some factors readers may consider when voting on series ratings are:
- Art quality
- Writing quality (i.e. plot, characters)
- Reader’s enjoyment
Figure 4
Despite receiving the highest ratings, Heartwarming ranks last in subscriber-based popularity (Figure 3). This conclusion is reasonable, however, seeing as there are only 2 Originals in the entire genre. (WEBTOON authors, do you see this unfulfilled market niche? 👀)
Note that the y-axis scale of the graph starts at 8.8 to emphasize the rating differences. The standard deviation (δ) is relatively low, so most of the series ratings are quite close to the mean rating (μ) for all genres. Adding a jump to the scale makes it easier to see the minute difference in ratings.
Also note that for the ratings for all series, regardless of genre, the mean μ is 9.39, and the standard deviation δ is 0.57 (computations below).
[1] 9.39[1] 0.572. Subscribers vs. Ratings
Some of the previous observations have been surprising: Action and Drama, despite unexceptional ratings, rack up significant subscriber counts. Heartwarming has a low number of subscribers, despite high ratings. These observations lead us to investigate the relationship between subscribers and ratings.
Consider also that a series’ higher subscriber count indicates a larger audience. With this increased visibility, more people contribute to the series’ rating. As such, it is reasonable to predict that the number of subscribers and ratings are related.
We investigate this relationship in Figure 5.
The following figures are interactive; hover over any point to see the series’ details.
Figure 5: Relationship between Subscribers and Ratings
(Kaggle, 2022)
The overall correlation between subscribers and ratings is somewhat strong and positive. We conclude that series with higher subscriber counts tend to have higher ratings, and low subscriber counts tend to indicate low ratings.
We can also explore this relationship by genre (Figure 6).